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Canada

Rivière-des-Milles-Îles


MP elect: Linda Lapointe (LPC)

Latest projection: May 25, 2025
LPC likely

Candidates | Rivière-des-Milles-Îles


Liberal Linda Lapointe
Conservative Elia Lopez
NDP Joseph Hakizimana
Green Alec Ware
Bloc Quebecois Luc Desilets*
PPC David Santamaria Quiceno
Independent Michel Genois

Candidates are listed on the Elections Canada website here. This list will be updated if it changes during the campaign.


Rivière-des-Milles-Îles 46% ± 6%▲ LPC 33% ± 6% BQ 17% ± 4% CPC LPC 2025 45.6% 338Canada vote projection | May 25, 2025
This projection is calculated using a mostly-proportional swing model adjusted with provincial and regional polls conducted by professional pollsters. This is not a poll, but a projection based on polls. The 338Canada model also takes into account electoral history and other data. Read more on 338Canada's methodology here.
50% 100% Rivière-des-Milles-Îles >99% LPC <1% BQ <1% CPC Odds of winning | May 25, 2025
These odds of winning are those if a general election were held today. They are calculated by the 338Canada Monte Carlo-type program that runs thousands of general election simulations. Electoral districts are then labelled as safe (odds of winning higher than 99.9%), likely (90% to 99.9%), leaning (70% to 90%) or toss up (below 70%).
[▲▼: movement since previous update]

Popular vote projection | Rivière-des-Milles-Îles

LPC 46% ± 6% CPC 17% ± 4% BQ 33% ± 6% Popular vote projection % | Rivière-des-Milles-Îles 55 50 45 40 35 30 25 20 15 10 5 2025► 2025-01-01 2025-02-01 2025-03-01 2025-04-01 2025-05-01 2025-06-01 2025-07-01 Election 2025 LPC CPC BQ May 25, 2025 2025-01-12 BQ 49% LPC 20% CPC 16% 2025-01-12 2025-01-19 BQ 48% LPC 20% CPC 16% 2025-01-19 2025-01-26 BQ 48% LPC 21% CPC 16% 2025-01-26 2025-02-02 BQ 48% LPC 22% CPC 16% 2025-02-02 2025-02-09 BQ 45% LPC 25% CPC 15% 2025-02-09 2025-02-16 BQ 44% LPC 27% CPC 15% 2025-02-16 2025-02-23 BQ 42% LPC 29% CPC 15% 2025-02-23 2025-03-02 BQ 40% LPC 32% CPC 15% 2025-03-02 2025-03-09 BQ 39% LPC 32% CPC 15% 2025-03-09 2025-03-16 BQ 38% LPC 34% CPC 15% 2025-03-16 2025-03-18 BQ 37% LPC 36% CPC 14% 2025-03-18 2025-03-20 BQ 37% LPC 36% CPC 14% 2025-03-20 2025-03-21 BQ 37% LPC 36% CPC 14% 2025-03-21 2025-03-22 BQ 37% LPC 36% CPC 14% 2025-03-22 2025-03-23 BQ 37% LPC 36% CPC 14% 2025-03-23 2025-03-24 BQ 37% LPC 36% CPC 14% 2025-03-24 2025-03-25 LPC 39% BQ 36% CPC 13% 2025-03-25 2025-03-26 LPC 39% BQ 36% CPC 13% 2025-03-26 2025-03-27 LPC 40% BQ 35% CPC 13% 2025-03-27 2025-03-28 LPC 41% BQ 35% CPC 14% 2025-03-28 2025-03-29 LPC 41% BQ 34% CPC 14% 2025-03-29 2025-03-30 LPC 42% BQ 33% CPC 14% 2025-03-30 2025-03-31 LPC 42% BQ 34% CPC 14% 2025-03-31 2025-04-01 LPC 43% BQ 33% CPC 14% 2025-04-01 2025-04-02 LPC 43% BQ 33% CPC 14% 2025-04-02 2025-04-03 LPC 44% BQ 32% CPC 14% 2025-04-03 2025-04-04 LPC 44% BQ 33% CPC 14% 2025-04-04 2025-04-05 LPC 44% BQ 33% CPC 14% 2025-04-05 2025-04-06 LPC 44% BQ 33% CPC 14% 2025-04-06 2025-04-07 LPC 45% BQ 33% CPC 14% 2025-04-07 2025-04-08 LPC 45% BQ 33% CPC 13% 2025-04-08 2025-04-09 LPC 44% BQ 34% CPC 13% 2025-04-09 2025-04-10 LPC 44% BQ 33% CPC 13% 2025-04-10 2025-04-11 LPC 44% BQ 33% CPC 13% 2025-04-11 2025-04-12 LPC 44% BQ 33% CPC 13% 2025-04-12 2025-04-13 LPC 44% BQ 33% CPC 13% 2025-04-13 2025-04-14 LPC 43% BQ 33% CPC 13% 2025-04-14 2025-04-15 LPC 44% BQ 33% CPC 13% 2025-04-15 2025-04-16 LPC 43% BQ 33% CPC 13% 2025-04-16 2025-04-17 LPC 43% BQ 34% CPC 13% 2025-04-17 2025-04-18 LPC 42% BQ 34% CPC 13% 2025-04-18 2025-04-19 LPC 42% BQ 34% CPC 13% 2025-04-19 2025-04-20 LPC 42% BQ 34% CPC 13% 2025-04-20 2025-04-21 LPC 42% BQ 34% CPC 13% 2025-04-21 2025-04-22 LPC 42% BQ 35% CPC 13% 2025-04-22 2025-04-23 LPC 42% BQ 34% CPC 14% 2025-04-23 2025-04-24 LPC 41% BQ 35% CPC 14% 2025-04-24 2025-04-25 LPC 41% BQ 35% CPC 14% 2025-04-25 2025-04-26 LPC 40% BQ 35% CPC 15% 2025-04-26 2025-04-27 LPC 40% BQ 35% CPC 15% 2025-04-27 2025-04-28 LPC 40% BQ 35% CPC 14% 2025-04-28 2025-04-30 LPC 45% BQ 33% CPC 17% 2025-04-30 2025-05-11 LPC 45% BQ 33% CPC 17% 2025-05-11 2025-05-18 LPC 45% BQ 33% CPC 17% 2025-05-18 2025-05-25 LPC 46% BQ 33% CPC 17% 2025-05-25 ▼ Trudeau resigns ▼ Carney LPC leader

Odds of winning | Rivière-des-Milles-Îles

LPC >99% CPC <1% NDP <1% BQ <1% Odds of winning the most seats 100% 90% 80% 70% 60% 50% 40% 30% 20% 10% 2025► 2025-01-01 2025-02-01 2025-03-01 2025-04-01 2025-05-01 2025-06-01 2025-07-01 Election 2025 LPC CPC NDP BQ May 25, 2025 2025-01-12 BQ >99% NDP <1% CPC <1% LPC <1% 2025-01-12 2025-01-19 BQ >99% NDP <1% CPC <1% LPC <1% 2025-01-19 2025-01-26 BQ >99% NDP <1% CPC <1% LPC <1% 2025-01-26 2025-02-02 BQ >99% NDP <1% CPC <1% LPC <1% 2025-02-02 2025-02-09 BQ >99% LPC <1% NDP <1% CPC <1% 2025-02-09 2025-02-16 BQ >99% LPC <1% NDP <1% CPC <1% 2025-02-16 2025-02-23 BQ 99% LPC 1% NDP <1% CPC <1% 2025-02-23 2025-03-02 BQ 92% LPC 8% NDP <1% CPC <1% 2025-03-02 2025-03-09 BQ 87% LPC 13% NDP <1% CPC <1% 2025-03-09 2025-03-16 BQ 77% LPC 23% NDP <1% CPC <1% 2025-03-16 2025-03-18 BQ 58% LPC 42% NDP <1% CPC <1% 2025-03-18 2025-03-20 BQ 54% LPC 46% NDP <1% CPC <1% 2025-03-20 2025-03-21 BQ 53% LPC 47% NDP <1% CPC <1% 2025-03-21 2025-03-22 BQ 54% LPC 46% NDP <1% CPC <1% 2025-03-22 2025-03-23 BQ 58% LPC 42% NDP <1% CPC <1% 2025-03-23 2025-03-24 BQ 58% LPC 42% NDP <1% CPC <1% 2025-03-24 2025-03-25 LPC 68% BQ 32% NDP <1% CPC <1% 2025-03-25 2025-03-26 LPC 72% BQ 28% NDP <1% CPC <1% 2025-03-26 2025-03-27 LPC 80% BQ 20% NDP <1% CPC <1% 2025-03-27 2025-03-28 LPC 85% BQ 15% NDP <1% CPC <1% 2025-03-28 2025-03-29 LPC 90% BQ 10% NDP <1% CPC <1% 2025-03-29 2025-03-30 LPC 93% BQ 7% NDP <1% CPC <1% 2025-03-30 2025-03-31 LPC 91% BQ 9% NDP <1% CPC <1% 2025-03-31 2025-04-01 LPC 95% BQ 5% NDP <1% CPC <1% 2025-04-01 2025-04-02 LPC 97% BQ 3% NDP <1% CPC <1% 2025-04-02 2025-04-03 LPC 98% BQ 2% NDP <1% CPC <1% 2025-04-03 2025-04-04 LPC 97% BQ 3% NDP <1% CPC <1% 2025-04-04 2025-04-05 LPC 97% BQ 3% NDP <1% CPC <1% 2025-04-05 2025-04-06 LPC 98% BQ 2% NDP <1% CPC <1% 2025-04-06 2025-04-07 LPC 98% BQ 2% NDP <1% CPC <1% 2025-04-07 2025-04-08 LPC 97% BQ 3% NDP <1% CPC <1% 2025-04-08 2025-04-09 LPC 96% BQ 4% NDP <1% CPC <1% 2025-04-09 2025-04-10 LPC 97% BQ 3% NDP <1% CPC <1% 2025-04-10 2025-04-11 LPC 97% BQ 3% NDP <1% CPC <1% 2025-04-11 2025-04-12 LPC 96% BQ 4% NDP <1% CPC <1% 2025-04-12 2025-04-13 LPC 96% BQ 4% NDP <1% CPC <1% 2025-04-13 2025-04-14 LPC 95% BQ 5% NDP <1% CPC <1% 2025-04-14 2025-04-15 LPC 97% BQ 3% NDP <1% CPC <1% 2025-04-15 2025-04-16 LPC 96% BQ 4% NDP <1% CPC <1% 2025-04-16 2025-04-17 LPC 94% BQ 6% NDP <1% CPC <1% 2025-04-17 2025-04-18 LPC 93% BQ 7% NDP <1% CPC <1% 2025-04-18 2025-04-19 LPC 92% BQ 8% NDP <1% CPC <1% 2025-04-19 2025-04-20 LPC 92% BQ 8% NDP <1% CPC <1% 2025-04-20 2025-04-21 LPC 92% BQ 8% NDP <1% CPC <1% 2025-04-21 2025-04-22 LPC 88% BQ 12% NDP <1% CPC <1% 2025-04-22 2025-04-23 LPC 89% BQ 11% NDP <1% CPC <1% 2025-04-23 2025-04-24 LPC 86% BQ 14% NDP <1% CPC <1% 2025-04-24 2025-04-25 LPC 84% BQ 16% NDP <1% CPC <1% 2025-04-25 2025-04-26 LPC 85% BQ 15% NDP <1% CPC <1% 2025-04-26 2025-04-27 LPC 83% BQ 17% NDP <1% CPC <1% 2025-04-27 2025-04-28 LPC 81% BQ 19% NDP <1% CPC <1% 2025-04-28 2025-04-30 LPC >99% BQ <1% NDP <1% CPC <1% 2025-04-30 2025-05-11 LPC >99% BQ <1% NDP <1% CPC <1% 2025-05-11 2025-05-18 LPC >99% BQ <1% NDP <1% CPC <1% 2025-05-18 2025-05-25 LPC >99% BQ <1% NDP <1% CPC <1% 2025-05-25 ▼ Trudeau resigns ▼ Carney LPC leader

Recent electoral history | Rivière-des-Milles-Îles



2019 2021 2025 Proj. LPC 46% ± 6% 36.2% 35.4% 45.6% BQ 33% ± 6% 40.6% 40.5% 32.8% CPC 17% ± 4% 8.0% 10.2% 17.4% NDP 2% ± 2% 8.5% 7.2% 2.1% GPC 1% ± 1% 5.1% 1.8% 1.2% PPC 1% ± 1% 1.5% 2.7% 0.5% IND 0% ± 1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Data from 2019 and 2021 are those transposed onto new electoral map.
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